The Future of Global Retailing to 2016

London, August 1st, 2012 - Global retail sales were dominated by food and grocery sales in 2011, accounting for over half of total sales that year. However, while this category was the largest, its sales are relatively stable year-on-year. Outside this dominant area, electrical and electronics had the fastest developing sales between 2006 and 2011, growing at an annual average rate of over 7%. In terms of market structure, general retailers were the largest channel group, contributing just under half towards total global retail sales in 2011. 

In the review period (2006-2011), global retail sales grew at a CAGR of 7%. Canadean expects retail sales in the region to grow by over 8% annually during the forecast period (2012-2016). General retailers were the largest channel group, contributing 47.1% towards global retail sales in 2011, or US$6,756.8 billion in value terms. During the review period, online retailers were the fastest-growing channel group, with a CAGR of 14.27% and are expected to remain the fastest-growing category group during the forecast period (2012-2016), at a CAGR of 15.06%.

Asia-Pacific continues to dominate global retail sales. The contribution from the region is expected to increase from just over 30% in 2006 to just under half by 2016. Asia-Pacific is expected to continue to grow by over 10% every year through 2016.

Both Europe and North America are expected to see a decline in their share towards global retail sales. While Latin American share is expected to increase marginally by 2016, that of Middle East and Africa will remain unchanged. North America dominates the per-capita retail spend among all five regions, followed by Europe and Latin America.

This report provides detailed data on the size and development of retail sales of individual product types through specific retail channels and formats in the Global Market. It provides a detailed and comprehensive quantitative analysis of the trends affecting market development through both historic and forecast data, which allows marketers to understand the future pattern of market trends, from winners and losers to category and channel dynamics, and thereby quickly and easily identify the key areas in which they want to compete in the future.

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Swiss Foodservice: The Future of Foodservice in Switzerland to 2016

London, July 31st, 2012 – In 2011, the profit sector accounted for a 94.1% share of total foodservice sales. Cost sector sales represented 5.9% of total foodservice sales and registered a CAGR of 0.77% over the review period (see graph below).  The restaurant channel remained the largest in terms of foodservice sales, contributing 68.2% of profit sector sales. The growth in restaurant sales was primarily a reflection of the increase in sales at full service restaurants and quick service restaurants. The largest channel in the cost sector was military and civil defense foodservices, which contributed 49.8% to total cost sector sales and recorded a CAGR of 0.43%.

One of the major factors of growth for the foodservice industry in the country has been a growth in its GDP and the trend is expected to support the industry going forward. The annual disposable income increased from US$253.1 billion in 2006, to US$327.5 billion in 2011, at a CAGR of 5.29% and it is expected to increase at a CAGR of 0.86% to reach US$341.8 in 2016. The unemployment rate stood at 3.45% in 2011 compared to 3.39% in 2006, but is expected to reduce to 2.67% by 2016.Driven by these macro-economic factors, most foodservice channels witnessed sales growth in 2011.

Smaller households have a higher disposable income available for discretionary purchases, as they have fewer members’ needs to be met. This increases the ratio of working members of a household to total family members, which is higher than larger families, and consequently the smaller households spend less time and effort on cooking.

Over the review period, the total contribution of travel and tourism to Switzerland’s GDP increased from CHF38.7 billion in 2006, to CHF46.8 billion in 2011. The travel and tourism sector’s total contribution to GDP was 7.8% in 2011, making it an important part of the Swiss economy. The foodservice sector is expected to benefit from this, especially in the accommodation and leisure channels.

Demographic and social changes are shaping the dynamics of the industry. Changing demographics, such as an aging population, the rising proportion of the foreign population, and ethnic diversity, have often reinforced its impact on the foodservice industry.Due to increasing health awareness amongst consumers and a growing preference for healthy food over fast food, many foodservice operators are now offering healthy variants of dishes and nutritional information.

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The Spanish Defense Industry Market Opportunities and Entry Strategies, Analyses and Forecasts to 2017

Homeland security market to grow at a CAGR of 3.4% to 2017

London, July 30th, 2012 – In 2012, the Spanish defense budget is estimated to value US$9.48 billion having recorded a negative CAGR of -6.7% during the review period (2008-2012) due to the budget cuts associated with the effects of the global economic crisis. In total, Spain is expected to spend US$56.68 billion on strengthening its armed forces, of which US$8.43 billion will be allocated for capital expenditure, while US$48.25 billion will be reserved for revenue expenditure. Furthermore, the Spanish defense budget is expected to register a CAGR of 3.2% during the forecast period (2013-2017), to value US$12.08 billion in 2017 (reference graph below). 

In 2012, the Spanish defense budget decreased by 4.9% from that of 2011 to US$9.48 billion. While Spanish defense expenditure recorded negative growth of -6.7% during the review period, it is expected to record a CAGR of 3.2% during the forecast period. Furthermore, the share of capital expenditure in the total defense budget is also expected to decrease from an average of 18.7% during the review period to 14.9% during the forecast period. As this is expected to reduce market opportunities, investments are expected to fall, which will hinder the growth of the Spanish defense industry.

The growth of the Spanish defense industry is additionally hindered by the project delays associated with the global financial crisis, which lead to project cancellations and rising costs. In particular, the implementation of a European defense industry has caused several project delays, as often member countries are unable to agree unanimously over issues such as specifications.

During 2007–2011, arms imports decreased at a CAGR of -7.6% which reflected the reduction in the Spanish defense budget. However, during the forecast period, the nation is expected to acquire armored vehicles and missile defense systems, as its domestic defense sector is underdeveloped in both of these categories.

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The Future of Foodservice in Indonesia to 2016

In 2011, the profit sector accounted for an 87.3% share of total foodservice sales. Sales in the profit sector increased at a CAGR of 9.04%  from 2006 - 2011.

                 

In 2011, cost sector sales represented 12.7% of total foodservice sales and registered a CAGR of 4.99% over the review period (2006 - 2011).  The restaurant channel remained the largest in terms of foodservice sales, contributing 61% of profit sector sales. The growth in restaurant sales was primarily a reflection of the increase in sales at quick service restaurants and full service restaurants.  The largest channel in the cost sector was education foodservices, which contributed 46.9% to total cost sector sales and recorded a CAGR of 4.73%.  

Growth in tourism is expected to have positive effect on the growth of foodservice industry in Indonesia.  The young Indonesian is educated, aware of the developments in the foodservice industry around the world, and is demanding quality food products, variety in food items, new cuisines and hygienic ambience from foodservice providers in the country.

The number of Indonesian women joining the workforce is increasing. The total number of working females increased from 41 million in 2006, to 46 million in 2011. This development, as well as busier work schedules, has increased the demand for convenience foods, such as instant noodles, frozen processed foods, packaged food, and ready-to-eat meals.

Due to an increase in the level of awareness about international food, many restaurants offering only international cuisines have opened up in major cities across Indonesia. These restaurants cater to the demand for variety in food among Indonesian population.

Various luxurious resorts and hotels are opening in Indonesia, who promise to provide a calm and peaceful atmosphere to their visitors. In order to achieve this motive, they have resorted to various eco friendly and sustainable formats.

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The Austrian Defense Industry Market Opportunities and Entry Strategies, Analyses and Forecasts to 2016

London, June 13th, 2012 – Austrian defense expenditure, estimated to be US$2.73 billion in 2012, declined at a CAGR of -1.04% during the review period. On a cumulative basis, the country is expected to spend an estimated US$12.46 billion on its armed forces during the forecast period. The country’s overall defense spending, however, is anticipated to register a CAGR of -2.25% during the forecast period and to value US$2.49 billion by 2016. The Austrian defense budget is likely to reduce due to the budget cuts associated with the ongoing financial crisis faced by the country (see graph below).

The Austrian economy has just begun to recover from the 2008 recession with a growth rate of 6.3% in 2011. The pace of recovery is, however, expected to be slow. To counter the mounting deficit and increasing public debt, the government is cutting back spending, including defense. This is expected to adversely affect military procurement expenditure over the next five years, and the domestic industry, which is mostly dependent on government procurement, will be severely affected.

The recession, combined with decreasing threat levels from external sources, has made the Austrian government refocus its defense procurement strategy. In December 2010, it announced a massive sell-off plan of its heavy equipment armory, and according to the country’s Defense Ministry, this is a direct consequence of the peace efforts propagated by the European Union (EU) region bordering Austria.

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Russian Foodservice: The Future of Foodservice in Russia to 2016

London, July 12^th, 2012 – In 2011, the profit sector accounted for a 93.6% share of total foodservice sales and sales increased at a CAGR of 4.96% over the review period. In 2011, cost sector sales represented 6.4% of total foodservice sales and registered a CAGR of 3.48% during the review period (reference graph below).  The restaurant channel remained the largest in terms of foodservice sales, contributing 39.9% of profit sector sales. Growth in restaurant sales was primarily a reflection on the increase in sales at quick service restaurants, and coffee and tea shops. The largest channel in the cost sector was healthcare foodservices, which contributed 50.2% to total cost sector sales and recorded a CAGR of 3.32%.  

A decade of stable political environment and steady economic growth has created a new middle class in Russia which is eager to spend. Although wages have stagnated, the government’s efforts in preventing major job losses have maintained disposable incomes, which in turn have strengthened the sales of foodservices.

Russia’s services industry’s contribution was a significant 67.8% of GDP in 2009. Growth in the IT and engineering services has been particularly outstanding with software exports growing to US$2.8 billion in 2009. The entry into the WTO is expected to boost the growth of intellectual property driven services such as aerospace, software, and information and communication technologies. This industry growth has led to an increase in the number of single young professionals who prefer to eat out in quick service restaurants.

Urbanization in Russia has been stagnating since the last decade and has even shown signs of reversal, falling from 74% in 2000 to 73% in 2005. It is further expected to decline to 72.7% during the forecast period. This has led to an increased consumption of convenience foods and the expansion of fast-food chains across all the major cities.

Russian consumers have been quite slow to adopt information technology, but they are evolving rapidly to catch up with the rest of Europe. Personal computer penetration has increased from 12.2 PCs per 100 people in 2005 to 19 PCs per 100 people in 2010. The new wave of international restaurant chains has introduced websites with elaborate online menus such as McDonald’s, which has an online menu and items can be ordered through the website.

Russian consumers have been extremely reluctant to conduct online shopping due to factors such as low penetration, low awareness and unpleasant experiences. In the early days of the internet, people who experimented with e-commerce suffered due to fraudulent online companies, incorrect or damaged products being delivered or late delivery of goods.

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Global Packaging Industry Survey 2012: Trends and Opportunities in Packaging, Budget Allocation, Procurement and NPD

Most important trends for innovative packaging

In 2012, suppliers will assign more importance to “more customized packaging,” “tracking and trading requirements” and “new labelling and coding technology,” while buyers consider “consumer convenience” and “new packaging materials” to be more imperative. The “cost of material” is considered the most important factor driving the development of innovative packaging solutions.

A C-level executive from a packaged goods manufacturer category states: “My company is focused on adopting sustainability practices in the development of new products to help reduce our overall production expenditure, including the cost of the materials procured.” Highlighting this trend, Unilever, a consumer goods company, devised a new policy for sourcing paper and board in 2010 and has made plans to procure 75% of paper and board either from certified sustainably managed forests or recycled materials by 2015.

According to packaged goods manufacturers, the most sustainable packaging materials are “paper and board,” “degradable plastics (such as oxo-biodegradable plastics)” and “glass,” while converters consider “paper and board,” “recyclable plastics” and “glass” to be the most environmentally friendly. Many organizations are actively seeking investment in paper and board packaging materials either through an increase in capacity or through acquisition. Highlighting the trend, A&R Carton, a Swedish carton manufacture, increased its stake by 34% in SP Containers, a food and retail packaging supplier in April 2011.

“Reduced manufacturing costs,” “minimize material use” and “environmental and regulatory compliance” remain the top three advantages

For manufacturers, the top three advantages of new packaging include “reduced manufacturing costs,” “minimize material use” and “environmental and regulatory compliance,” while converters consider “environmental and regulatory compliance,” “minimize material use” and “increased shelf life” of products to be important. In terms of new packaging solutions, the main objective of manufactures is to reduce costs. This can be achieved through reducing the weight of bottles and boxes, decreasing the thickness of packaging materials such as extra plastic on pouch packets and lessening the size of containers. For example, in February 2011, Kraft Foods reduced the size of its Cadbury Dairy Milk chocolate bars from 140 to 120 grams in the US and the UK and also announced plans to reduce the size of packaging for some of its products in November 2011.

Suppliers assign relatively more importance to “consumers” and the “government” as key drivers influencing their organizations’ sustainability efforts, than buyers who referenced “self-regulation: individual companies,” “clients” and “self-regulation: trade bodies” as their key drivers. Companies are becoming more consumer-centric and are actively investing in developing products according to market research. For example, in September 2011, Sainsbury’s changed the packaging of its peanut butter range from glass to plastic jars, an initiative that helped the company to cut packaging material volumes by 83% or 882,000 kilos.
 

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